The Embedding

TWENTY-ONE

SECRET & SENSITIVE

Subject: WASHINGTON SPECIAL ACTION GROUP MEETING #2

CONCERNING PROJECT “LEAPFROG”

7. It is remarkable to what extent the ‘Brazilian Revolution’ has already, by sheer adjacency, thrown Argentina, Uruguay and Guyana into widespread civil turmoil, and Paraguay into a state bordering on anarchy—and had serious repercussions in nations as far removed from Brazil geographically as the Republic of South Africa, Spain and Japan. In the ‘supersaturated’ cultural context of Planet Earth today, this kind of trigger effect is predictable, and it is worth noting that the contagion may be as much mental, as strictly geographical.

8. This ‘trigger effect’ has been subjected to a mathematical analysis of the psychosocial vectors involved, by the Rand Corporation. It is in no way a statement of the outmoded panic concept popularly known as the ‘Domino Theory’. This is a scientific model and must be heeded as such. Even the isolationist philosophy of many senior figures in the Administration cannot reasonably balk at acceptance of a need for exemplary action at this point—action based not upon ‘political’ hypotheses of dubious merit, as heretofore, but upon the psychosocial realities of Planet Earth. (See the attached Rand Corporation document on the testing out in practice of the math models involved, in Puerto Rico, and in Angola.)

9. It is evident that the events in Brazil, if not reversed, represent an immediate 50% attrition of US investment and resource potential for the whole subcontinent.

10. Attempting to control these events by applying ‘conventional’ pressures is unlikely to prove effective. There is considerable evidence that key elements in the Brazilian Administration, hitherto considered stable and pro-American, have abruptly polarized in the opposite direction.

11. The precipitating event in this upsurge of nationalistic and even of extreme xenophobic reactions is of course the unfortunate—and unforeseen—monitoring by a Chinese satellite of the small nuclear explosions that breached the dam codenamed ‘Niagara’. The People’s Republic Government’s announcement of this, against a background of rising insurgency inside Brazil itself, was a propaganda stroke of the first order. The equally unfortunate and unforeseen flood devastation produced by project ’Niagara Falls’ provides the final obstacle to a ‘conventional’ political solution to the nationalistic frenzy now gripping Brazil and much of Latin America.

12. It is vital to neutralize the snowballing set of events in Latin America; to trigger an ‘anti-catalyst’ to divert these events. And this ‘anti-catalyst’ must be as momentous and of the same order as the Amazon disaster.

13. It is therefore recommended that Project ‘Leapfrog’ should be ‘shunted’ along these diversionary lines.

(See attached Rand Corporation working paper, ‘Transfer of Threat: an analysis of hostility transferred from an actual and internal enemy to an imaginary and external enemy’, para 72, ‘… to a theoretically plausible yet statistically unlikely “Alien Menace’”.)

14. It is recommended that in order to maximize the technological payoff from Project ‘Leapfrog’, while at the same time diverting the South American revolutionary situation, Project ‘Mulekick’ should be proceeded with at speed.

15. It will be necessary to inform the Soviet Government as soon as (i.e. during) the delivery of ‘Mulekick’. And to adopt a posture of national defence readiness, whilst guaranteeing equal rights to share any technical data accruing as pay-off.